[T]he virus is in nearly every country and will surely spread. There is no vaccine. There is no cure. A very rough guess is that, without a campaign of social distancing, between 25% and 80% of a typical population will be infected. Of these, perhaps 4.4% will be seriously sick and a third of those wil need intensive care. For poor places, this implies calamity.
– Economist: The next calamity (26 March 2020)